Friday, August 01, 2003

Karros vs Choi


I keep hearing that a .320 hitting Karros gives us a better shot to win than a .230 hitting Choi. Is this really the case? So i decided to go back and look at how the Cubs did when Choi and Karros had 3+, 4+, and 5+ plate appearances.

Choi with 3+ PA's the Cubs are 30 and 18
Karros with 3+ PA's the Cubs are 25 and 35

Choi with 4+ PA's the Cubs are 23 and 11
Karros with 4+ PA's the Cubs are 19 and 29

Choi with 5+ PA's the Cubs are 8 and 1
Karros with 5+ PA's the Cubs are 3 and 7

This is in no way scientific. Maybe Karros always plays on the days when the team sucks, i dont know. But what it does show me is that when Choi gets a significant amount of AB's in a game the Cubs win alot more often. Were 12 games over .500 with Choi getting 3+ plate appearances, where as with Karros we are 10 games under .500.

And finally i checked out games in which Karros and Choi didnt play and what the teams record was.......

DNP Choi the Cubs are 16 and 22
DNP Karros the Cubs are 15 and 13

Again that shows me when Choi is out of the lineup the team is worse and when Karros doesnt play the team is better. Draw your own conclusions, but i think its just another nail in the coffin as why Hee Seop Choi needs to start over Karros. He simply gives us a better chance to win.